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The Gamber’s Fallacy & The Hot Hand Fallacy

Published on June 13th, 2017

The Gambler’s Fallacy and the Hot Hand Fallacy are two poles of the same flawed paradigm. They are reverse images of the tendency for our brain to believe in a storied, or patterned, outcome. As opposed to the probabilistic reality that individual events may have zero bearing on the preceding or following events. They are human biases.

The Gambler’s Fallacy

The Gambler’s Fallacy says that the longer you sit at a slot machine or roll a dice, events with entirely unrelated outcomes, the chances of winning increase. In the classic description of the Gambler’s Fallacy the player believes that if a coin has flipped three heads, the chances are increased that on the next go it is inclined to flip a tail. It’s the idea that averages even out the odds. But, unfortunately for the gambler, each toss of a coin is entirely independent of probabilistic outcome and there is just as much a reason to expect a head or a tail at 50/50 odds after 10,000 coin flips of heads.

The number of preceding outcomes has no relationship to the next. Read the rest of this entry »

Social Media, Image Theft & Naive Cock-Jockeys

Published on April 29th, 2017

To share or not to share. It’s not even a question. I share a lot of erotic pictures on social media. Both contemporary and vintage. And, yes, I’ve shared a hell of a lot of images that lack the photographer/model credit.

But I’m not going to change my ways because some simple-minded cock-jockey asserts every unattributed photograph is a direct act of theft. If they think that I’m a thief then they seriously misunderstand images on the World Wide Web. And the nature of social media in general.

As an amateur photographer I do understand the desire (even need) for attribution. Intellectual Property is a serious issue. However, people also need to understand how (particularly vintage) pictures wind up online in the first instance.

Step one usually entails an unpaid entity scanning and uploading a picture to social media. If that person fails to acknowledge the publication the picture was scanned from, the photographer who made the picture, or the subject matter… it is beyond my control to easily discover that information from the image.

Read the rest of this entry »

The Erotic Pictures of Roland Carre

Published on March 28th, 2017

European erotic photographers from the magazine Paris-Hollywood and it’s more successful title Folies de Paris et de Hollywood (1952-1974) seem to have faded into history. However, André Bélorgey and Serge Jacques are finding new attention in recent years along with the extremely talented Roland Carre. It’s just a shame there is little about their lives or motivations available to find. They are photographic mysteries.

André Bélorgey and Serge Jacques co-authored Studio Album No. 8 (Nouvelle Serie) with Roland Carre; while Jacques and Carre co-authored Art and Beauty No. 3. All three appear to have worked prolifically in a genre that may have been seen as less sensational to the Europeans. There seems to have been a dearth of published articles about their lives and work. And if their stories were published in magazines and books, only their pictures have reached the public Internet with a recent rise in demand for their work.

Read the rest of this entry »

More Articles on

  1. Social Media, Image Theft & Naive Cock-Jockeys
  2. The Erotic Pictures of Roland Carre
  3. European Tits & Arse by André Bélorgey
  4. Serge Jacques & Paris-Hollywood
  5. The French Erotic Photographer Hubert Toyot

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About the Author

Steven Clark Steven Clark - the stand up guy on this site

My name is Steven Clark (aka nortypig) and I live in Southern Tasmania. I have an MBA (Specialisation) and a Bachelor of Computing from the University of Tasmania. I'm a photographer making pictures with film. A web developer for money. A business consultant for fun. A journalist on paper. Dreams of owning the World. Idea champion. Paradox. Life partner to Megan.

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